⚾ PitchIQ

MLB Pitching Matchup Intelligence

CLE 54 - 53

CLE

Cleveland Guardians

Postponed
@
Great American Ball Park
CIN 49 - 55

CIN

Cincinnati Reds

Pitcher Advantage ? Cincinnati Reds +15.0 Confidence: Medium - meaningful profile separation after regression
AI Matchup Summary

Game Postponed

This game has been postponed. The matchup between Slade Cecconi and Chase Burns will not be played.

Key factors
Model checks
  • Game status is Postponed.
Weak Strong
Slade Cecconi

Cleveland Guardians

Slade Cecconi

Real Statcast profile · 1703 pitches sampled
PitchIQ ? 42.5
Win Probability ? 45.4%
Expected IP ? 5.1
K Projection ? 4.1
Quality Start ? 11%
Model Role ? Away SP

Traditional

ERA ? 4.04
WHIP ? 1.4
FIP ? 4.34
K/9 ? 6.9
BB/9 ? 2.9
HR/9 ? 1.3

Recent Form

Last 3 ERA ? 2.28
Last 3 WHIP ? 1.39
Last 3 K ? 12
Avg IP ? 5.3
Avg Pitch Count ? 85
Velocity Trend ? 1.3

Statcast Quality

xwOBA ? 0.333
xBA ? 0.335
xSLG ? 0.552
HardHit% ? 26.4
Barrel% ? 2.2
Avg EV ? 83.5

Batted Ball Profile

GB% ? 39.7
FB% ? 40.4
LD% ? 19.9
Pull% ? 38.4
Oppo% ? 27.7

Plate Discipline

Zone% ? 49.9
Chase% ? 27.2
Whiff% ? 20.1
1stPitchS% ? 67.3
BB% ? 7.5
K% ? 18.0

Pitch Arsenal

4-Seam
26.2% | 93.2 mph | 18.6% whiff
Cutter
25.1% | 88.2 mph | 21.6% whiff
Sinker
21.1% | 93.3 mph | 10.9% whiff
Curve
15.2% | 75.8 mph | 29.9% whiff
Slider
5.2% | 83.4 mph | 31.1% whiff
Chase Burns

Cincinnati Reds

Chase Burns

Real Statcast profile · 1768 pitches sampled
PitchIQ ? 57.5
Win Probability ? 54.6%
Expected IP ? 5.2
K Projection ? 6.0
Quality Start ? 20%
Model Role ? Home SP

Traditional

ERA ? 2.4
WHIP ? 1.17
FIP ? 3.35
K/9 ? 11.0
BB/9 ? 3.4
HR/9 ? 1.1

Recent Form

Last 3 ERA ? 5.26
Last 3 WHIP ? 1.24
Last 3 K ? 12
Avg IP ? 5.2
Avg Pitch Count ? 95
Velocity Trend ? -1.2

Statcast Quality

xwOBA ? 0.276
xBA ? 0.303
xSLG ? 0.506
HardHit% ? 22.4
Barrel% ? 1.5
Avg EV ? 83.6

Batted Ball Profile

GB% ? 27.9
FB% ? 52.7
LD% ? 19.4
Pull% ? 42.7
Oppo% ? 21.9

Plate Discipline

Zone% ? 43.8
Chase% ? 33.9
Whiff% ? 31.9
1stPitchS% ? 59.1
BB% ? 9.0
K% ? 28.6

Pitch Arsenal

4-Seam
57.1% | 97.8 mph | 17.7% whiff
Slider
37.4% | 90.4 mph | 51.8% whiff
Change
5.4% | 90.1 mph | 33.3% whiff

Environment & Matchup Context

Ballpark Context ? 23.4

Hitter-friendly park with elevated home run risk.

Run Factor: 1.08 | HR Factor: 1.18

Weather ? 47.0

70.2°F, 84% humidity, 3.5 mph wind, 988.6 hPa pressure.

Lineup Matchup ? 50.4 / 42.5

Official lineup not available yet. Using deterministic team matchup placeholder.

PitchIQ Model Breakdown

Red side favors the home pitcher. Blue side favors the away pitcher. Weather and park context are now included. Lineup matchup is scaffolded until confirmed lineup + batter-vs-pitcher data is connected.

Statcast Quality 26% weight ?
CLE
46.9
63.7
CIN +16.8
Command / Whiff 18% weight ?
CLE
27.0
69.3
CIN +42.3
Season Performance 12% weight ?
CLE
34.0
82.7
CIN +48.7
Recent Form 8% weight ?
CLE
52.8
29.7
CLE +23.1
Bullpen Rating 10% weight ?
CLE
53.0
42.2
CLE +10.8
Offense vs Handedness 10% weight ?
CLE
43.3
46.9
CIN +3.6
Confirmed Lineup Strength 8% weight ?
CLE
50.0
50.0
Even
Weather Impact 4% weight ?
CLE
47.0
50.0
CIN +3.0
Park Context 4% weight ?
CLE
23.4
23.4
Even